Who's going to win? Think the biggest factor will be the guy that has flown under the radar these two weeks.
There's been a lot of talk about Denver's offense vs Seattle's defense. Richard Sherman vs Peyton Manning. But I don't think the biggest factor will come from the Seattle defense or the Denver offense.
Russell Wilson has done everything he's needed to this post season. He's been smart and efficient. He has looked very comfortable and made few mistakes.
However, no game Wilson has ever played is anything like this game tomorrow. This is Wilson's second year. He is young and inexperienced, and I wonder it this Superbowl will be too big for Wilson this year.
We all know Peyton will be comfortable and handle the pressure well. This is his 13th playoff appearance, 23rd playoff game, and 3rd Superbowl. Wilson, however, will be way out of his comfort zone. How will he perform?
Let's look at Wilson's 4 playoff games.
2013
1 - at Washington. This is Wilson's only road playoff win, against a Redskins team that lost RGIII early in the game. Washington was not a good team without RGIII and Seattle would have won that game despite Wilson.
2013
1 - at Washington. This is Wilson's only road playoff win, against a Redskins team that lost RGIII early in the game. Washington was not a good team without RGIII and Seattle would have won that game despite Wilson.
2 - at Atlanta. This was Wilson's biggest game of his career to that point. He and his team fell down by a lot of points early. Wilson and the Seahawks did rallied at the end but it wasn't enough to win.
2014
2014
3 - vs New Orleans - This was at home. Home field advantage really helps calm down the nerves and helps you feel comfortable. Also, the Seahawks had already played the Saints at home this year, and destroyed them. Wilson knew they could beat them because they already done it. The stress and pressure was not very much.
4 - vs San Francisco. Again, this game was at home, against a team Wilson is very familiar with. Again, they had already KILLED the 49ers in Seattle so they knew they could do it again. Wilson was again comfortable and under little pressure.
Russell Wilson's 5th playoff game will be a most different story. This is his first Superbowl game. This will not be in Seattle but at a neutral (at best) field. Wilson is not as familiar with the Broncos. The only times Wilson has ever played the Broncos was in the early Preseasons. Wilson is going to be out of his comfort zone and under a lot of pressure in the biggest game of his career on the biggest stage in American sports.
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I don't think the Broncos are the clear favorite. But If I were a betting man, I'm not putting my faith in the inexperienced Seahawks lead by their sophomore QB. I'm putting all my money on that loaded offensive lead by one of the most playoff experienced QB of all time.
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